TABLE 4
Needs and Resources for Projected
Successful and Unsuccessful Districts*

Successful
(n=16)

Unsuccessful
(n=26)

NEEDS

Size (Average Daily Attendance)

     1991

3,484

2,325

     2001

3,970

2,007

Percent Change

8.7

-10.2

Poverty (Percent subsidized meals)

     1992

26.3

59.5

     2001

32.6

66.4

Percent Change

24.1

16.7

RESOURCES

Local Revenue per Pupil

     1991

   $961

  $542

     2001

$2,377

$1,430

Percent Change

153

183

Total Revenue per Pupil

     1991

$3,767

$4,066

     2001

$6,650

$7,668

Percent Change

77

89

Teacher Salary

     1991

$28,925

$27,805

     2001

$35,916

$34,859

Percent Change

24

25

*The projected successful districts are most likely to reach an accountability score of 100 points by 2014 based on Method C from a previous project projecting which schools are likely to meet the minimum goal by 2014 – "The KERA Endgame" (November 2001) http://www.uky.edu/~proeder/keraweb.htm. Successful districts are projected to score over 110 points by 2014 and scored at least 70 points on the CATS accountability scale in 2001; unsuccessful districts are projected to score less than 85 points by 2014 and scored less than 65 points in 2001. The districts in each group are listed in an Appendix at the above website. There are many other districts projected to reach 100 points by 2014 using the model, however this table compares districts most and least likely to achieve the minimum score.